Welcome to the Emerging Climate Risk Lab (ECRL)

Our objective is to advance the science that will allow societies around the world to thrive in spite of the risk imposed by climate change by developing methods for synthesizing historical data, running numerical climate models, and employing statistical techniques to quantify uncertainty an make new inferences. The nature of this work is therefore highly interdisciplinary, facilitating collaborations with colleagues in geography, paleoclimatology, and ecology, just to name a few.

Current efforts are focused on improving sub-seasonal to decadal forecasts of seasonal transitions, particularly the start of spring in boreal regions. We are also working on understanding the likelihood of megadrought in the future, and quantifying extreme precipitation risk from landfalling hurricanes on long-lead time horizons.